Alternative Premier League table after half a season, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after half a season, based on expected goals
Christmas was merrier for some more than others as the Premier League took more twists and turns.Liverpool are now six points clear at the top of the table after wins over Wolverhampton Wanderers and Newcastle United, while Manchester City were rocked by defeats to Crystal Palace and Leicester City.8

Liverpool players celebrate during their 4-0 win over Newcastle United.

Elsewhere, Tottenham Hotspur hit 11 goals across their 6-2 triumph over Everton and 5-0 win against Bournemouth, while Ole Gunnar Solskjaer won both his first two fixtures as Manchester United boss, beating Cardiff City and Huddersfield.But how has the weekends action changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

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20. Burnley Real position = 18Real points = 12 | Expected points = 13.938

Sean Dyche’s Clarets are struggling in the Premier League and the alternative standings

19.Fulham Real position = 19Real points = 11 | Expected points = 15.8918. Newcastle United Real position = 15Real points = 17 | Expected points = 16.4217. Huddersfield Town Real position = 20Real points = 10 | Expected points = 17.0016. Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 13Real points = 22 | Expected points = 18.168

Jurgen Locadia scored a crucial equaliser for Brighton against Arsenal on Boxing Day

15. Cardiff City Real position = 17Real points = 15 | Expected points = 19.8814.Southampton Real position = 16 – yet to play their 19th gameReal points = 15 | Expected points = 21.6513.West Ham Real position = 12*– yet to play their 19th gameReal points = 24 | Expected points = 22.5312. Crystal Palace Real position = 14Real points = 19 | Expected points = 24.1911.Everton Real position = 8Real points = 27 | Expected points = 25.538

Everton recovered from a thrashing at the hands of Tottenham to batter Burnley on Boxing Day

10. Bournemouth Real position = 11Real points = 26 | Expected points = 25.629. Leicester City Real position = 7Real points = 28 | Expected points = 26.768. Manchester United Real position = 6Real points = 32 | Expected points = 27.368

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer celebrates Manchester United’s victory at Cardiff

7. Watford Real position = 9Real points = 27 | Expected points = 28.306. Arsenal Real position = 5Real points = 38 | Expected points = 28.498

Unai Emery has done well at Arsenal but the draw with Brighton has dented their top four hopes

5.Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 10Real points = 26 | Expected points = 30.904. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 2Real points = 45 | Expected points = 34.538

Tottenham put six goals past Everton on Sunday

3.Chelsea Real position = 4Real points = 40 | Expected points = 39.472.Liverpool Real position = 1Real points = 51 | Expected points = 42.418

Liverpool defender Dejan Lovren helped them go six points clear at the top of the actual Premier League table

1. Manchester City Real position = 2Real points = 44 | Expected points = 43.74

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West Ham 1 Burnley 0. Burnley's Premier League survival hangs by a thread after West Ham and referee Jonathan Moss dished out a big dose of capital punishment. Mark Noble's early penalty left the Clarets eight points from safety with just three games remaining.

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