The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 27 match, according to statistics

The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 27 match, according to statistics
The Premier League is now 11 games from completion and teams are fighting for titles and salvation.Tottenham Hotspur found out on Saturday afternoon there are no more easy games going into the final stretch as they lost 2-1 to Burnley, who propelled themselves away from the relegation zone at a vital time.9

Burnley ace Ashley Barnes celebrates his match-winning goal against Tottenham.

It was a scrappy match with some feisty moments and some would argue the Clarets were well worth all three points at Turf Moor, just like Newcastle United were in their match against Huddersfield Town as they also grabbed a huge win at the bottom of the table.Meanwhile, Manchester United and Liverpool’s 0-0 draw appeared an entirely correct outcome. But do the results we got reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 24th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

Cardiff City vs Watford

Real result: 1-5xG result: 1.46-2.759

Gerard Deulofeu scores for Watford

West Ham United vs Fulham

Real result: 3-1xG result: 2.73-1.219

Michail Antonio sealed the Hammers’ win against Fulham in injury time

Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur

Real result: 2-1xG result: 1.09-0.859

Ashley Barnes’ late strike dealt a huge blow to Tottenham’s title hopes

Newcastle United vs Huddersfield Town

Real result: 2-0xG result: 3.03-0.139

Rondon had a hand in both Newcastle goals

Bournemouth vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Real result: 1-1xG result: 2.13-1.219

Raul Jimenez celebrates scoring against Bournemouth.

Leicester City vs Crystal Palace

Real result: 1-4xG result: 0.96-1.589

Zaha celebrates with the travelling Palace fans

Arsenal vs Southampton

Real result: 2-0xG result: 2.30-0.599

Lacazette gave the Gunners the perfect start with his sixth-minute goal against the Saints

Manchester United vs Liverpool

Real result: 0-0xG result: 0.48-0.38GETTY9

Liverpool and Manchester United midfielders James Milner and Paul Pogba embrace each other.

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